Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000060 0.000070 0.000080 0.000091 0.000104 0.000117 0.000132
2024-12-22 0.000047 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000109 0.000129 0.000154
2024-12-29 0.000039 0.000053 0.000069 0.000088 0.000112 0.000139 0.000173
2025-01-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000064 0.000087 0.000115 0.000148 0.000188
2025-01-12 0.000027 0.000041 0.000060 0.000084 0.000115 0.000152 0.000200
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000036 0.000055 0.000080 0.000114 0.000155 0.000208
2025-01-26 0.000018 0.000032 0.000051 0.000078 0.000114 0.000159 0.000219
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000121 0.000171 0.000238
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000029 0.000050 0.000081 0.000123 0.000178 0.000252
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000029 0.000052 0.000086 0.000133 0.000194 0.000278
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000028 0.000050 0.000086 0.000136 0.000201 0.000292
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000082 0.000133 0.000201 0.000296
2025-03-09 0.000009 0.000022 0.000045 0.000081 0.000136 0.000210 0.000314
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000020 0.000042 0.000080 0.000137 0.000216 0.000329
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000018 0.000040 0.000079 0.000139 0.000223 0.000345
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000078 0.000140 0.000229 0.000359
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000139 0.000232 0.000369
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000072 0.000137 0.000232 0.000376
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000011 0.000030 0.000070 0.000136 0.000235 0.000386
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000072 0.000143 0.000249 0.000412
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000072 0.000145 0.000257 0.000429
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000076 0.000155 0.000276 0.000463
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000076 0.000158 0.000284 0.000481